Welcome!
I am a Ph.D. candidate in Economics at Boston University, with research interests in macroeconomics and data science. I bring a strong background in central banking and have a solid command of data-driven tools and quantitative methods. My areas of expertise include economic forecasting, nowcasting, and econometric modeling.
Contact: martin22@bu.edu
Research
Publications
Working Papers
The impact of El Niño phenomenon in Peru.
Work in Progress
Optimal Composition of Government Spending with Sectoral Heterogeneity: Public Consumption vs. Public Investment.
Breaking (Down) News: Using News Data for Economic Forecasting in Peru.
Dynamic Labor Supply.
Experience
Head, Division of Economic Activity Indicators
Sep 2019 – Aug 2021
- Coordination with public- and private-sector stakeholders to gather perspectives, identify key challenges, and develop sector-specific projections.
- Led monthly macroeconomic surveys and GDP nowcasting using high-frequency indicators.
- Developed forecasting models for production, expenditure, and national accounts statistics.
Senior Analyst, Division of Macroeconomic Modeling
Aug 2018 – Aug 2019
- Conducted Bayesian estimation and impulse-response analysis.
- Built frameworks for short-run inflation forecasting.
- Developed trend-cycle decompositions and DSGE models for policy analysis.
Analyst, Division of Economic Activity Indicators
May 2014 – Jul 2017
- Led the 2007-base GDP rebasing.
- Compiled national accounts data.
- Executed monthly macroeconomic surveys informing central-bank decisions.
CV
Download the latest version of my curriculum vitae here.