Welcome!
Ph.D. candidate in Economics at Boston University with experience in consumer credit, macroeconomic forecasting, and applied data analysis. Skilled in translating complex data into actionable insights for policy and business decisions. Research interests include macroeconomics and applied econometrics, with expertise in economic forecasting, nowcasting, and econometric modeling.
I am on the 2026–2027 job market.
Contact: martin22@bu.edu
Research
Publications
Working Papers
Breaking (Down) News: Using News Data for Economic Forecasting in Peru.
Work in Progress
Cost Exposure and Currency Choice: Theory and Evidence from Firm-Level Data in Peru.
The Heterogeneous Impact of the El Niño Phenomenon.
Dynamic Labor Supply.
Experience
Lead Supervisor, Division of Economic Analysis
Sep 2026 – Present
- Conduct geospatial and economic analysis of the heterogeneous effects of climate shocks on aggregate economic outcomes using input–output tables.
Economics Intern, Worldwide Installments
Amazon
Jun 2026 – Aug 2026
- Evaluated and forecast default rates for Amazon installment products, identifying how macroeconomic conditions affect customer repayment behavior and portfolio credit risk.
- Developed analytical frameworks, projections, and research projects to identify the main drivers of default performance and support data-driven product and business decisions.
Head, Division of Economic Activity Indicators
Sep 2019 – Aug 2021
- Coordination with public- and private-sector stakeholders to gather perspectives, identify key challenges, and develop sector-specific projections.
- Led monthly macroeconomic surveys and GDP nowcasting using high-frequency indicators.
- Developed forecasting models for production, expenditure, and national accounts statistics.
Senior Analyst, Division of Macroeconomic Modeling
Aug 2018 – Aug 2019
- Conducted Bayesian estimation and impulse-response analysis.
- Built frameworks for short-run inflation forecasting.
- Developed trend-cycle decompositions and DSGE models for policy analysis.
Analyst, Division of Economic Activity Indicators
May 2014 – Jul 2017
- Led the 2007-base GDP rebasing.
- Compiled national accounts data.
- Executed monthly macroeconomic surveys informing central-bank decisions.
CV
Download the latest version of my curriculum vitae here.